Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket App UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open the market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open the market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open the market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open the market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open the market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Wimbledon ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Alexei Popyrin Set 3 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Alexei Popyrin Set 3 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Alexei Popyrin | 100% |
| Completed Match | 100% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Alexei Popyrin Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Alexei Popyrin Set 2 Winner | 100% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Alexei Popyrin Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Alexei Popyrin Set 1 Winner | 100% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Alexei Popyrin Set 3 Winner | 100% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Alexei Popyrin Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 100% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Alexei Popyrin Set Handicap +/-2.5 | 100% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Alexei Popyrin Set 4 Winner | 50% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Alexei Popyrin Set 4 O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Alexei Popyrin Set 4 O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Alexei Popyrin Set 4 O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Alexei Popyrin Match O/U 36.5 | 0% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Alexei Popyrin Match O/U 38.5 | 0% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Alexei Popyrin Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 0% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Alexei Popyrin Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Alexei Popyrin Set 3 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Alexei Popyrin Match O/U 40.5 | 0% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Alexei Popyrin Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Alexei Popyrin Total Sets: O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Alexei Popyrin Total Sets: O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Alexei Popyrin Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
Market context
Market consensus: 100% chance of wimbledon atp: jiri lehecka vs alexei popyrin. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the tennis match between Jiri Lehecka and Alexei Popyrin in the Wimbledon ATP, originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve …
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket App UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket App UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Wimbledon ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Alexei Popyrin on Polymarket App UK
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