Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket App UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open the market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open the market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open the market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open the market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open the market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Completed Match | 100% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Zachary Svajda Set Handicap +/-2.5 | 100% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Zachary Svajda Set 3 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Zachary Svajda Set 3 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Zachary Svajda Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 100% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Zachary Svajda Set 4 Winner | 50% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Zachary Svajda Set 4 O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Zachary Svajda Set 4 O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Zachary Svajda Set 4 O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Zachary Svajda Match O/U 38.5 | 0% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Zachary Svajda Match O/U 40.5 | 0% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Zachary Svajda | 0% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Zachary Svajda Set 1 Winner | 0% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Zachary Svajda Match O/U 36.5 | 0% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Zachary Svajda Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 0% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Zachary Svajda Total Sets: O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Zachary Svajda Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Zachary Svajda Set 3 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Zachary Svajda Total Sets: O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Zachary Svajda Set 2 Winner | 0% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Zachary Svajda Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 0% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Zachary Svajda Set 3 Winner | 0% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Zachary Svajda Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Zachary Svajda Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| Wimbledon ATP: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Zachary Svajda Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
Market context
Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to wimbledon atp: pablo llamas ruiz vs zachary svajda. This market refers to the tennis match between Pablo Llamas Ruiz and Zachary Svajda in the Wimbledon ATP, originally scheduled for July 1, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Pablo Llamas…
Methodology
This page reviews Wimbledon ATP: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Zachary Svajda across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Polymarket App UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket App UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Trade Wimbledon ATP: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Zachary Svajda on Polymarket App UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →