ICC T20 World Cup, Women: New Zealand vs Ireland

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

New Zealand Women face Ireland Women in the ICC Women’s T20 World Cup at the Rose Bowl, Southampton, with the official result to be taken from ESPNcricinfo’s match centre once the game is finalised.[8] For a programmatic read, that means the market should be treated as a single binary event whose settlement depends on the recorded winner, not on scoreline, margin, or how the win is produced, so DLS, a forfeit, or a Super Over all resolve as ordinary wins under the market rules.

A crowd-implied **0% YES** is usually a sign of either a data glitch, an inactive market state, or a position that is effectively pricing the outcome as impossible rather than merely unlikely. In comparable cricket markets, those near-zero prints can be unstable if the underlying fixture is not yet fully live, if the feed lags a confirmed squad or toss update, or if users are copying stale prices without checking the official scorecard source; for automation, that is the point to verify the event state before routing orders.

The main catalysts are confirmation that the match is underway, any interruption that could trigger revised targets, and the final scorecard publication on ESPNcricinfo, which is the settlement reference.[8] The fixture is listed as Match 13 in Group 2, and a preview from the ICC framed it as New Zealand versus Ireland in the 2026 women’s tournament, so traders watching bots or conditional orders should monitor official match pages and live score updates for start-time changes, rain delays, or an abandoned game that still produces a competition winner.[1][4][5]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

We track ICC T20 World Cup, Women: New Zealand vs Ireland on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Polymarket App UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket App UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket App UK?

Zero. Polymarket App UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.