Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket App UK Pick polygram.ink |
9% | 91% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Polymarket App UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
9% | 91% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Polymarket App UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Polymarket App UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Polymarket App UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Polymarket App UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Polymarket App UK.
Active sub-markets
| Switzerland 0 - 0 Canada | 9% YES | 92% NO |
| Switzerland 0 - 1 Canada | 9% YES | 92% NO |
| Switzerland 1 - 0 Canada | 11% YES | 90% NO |
| Switzerland 0 - 2 Canada | 5% YES | 96% NO |
| Switzerland 1 - 1 Canada | 14% YES | 86% NO |
| Switzerland 2 - 0 Canada | 7% YES | 93% NO |
Market context
The upcoming FIFA World Cup fixture between Switzerland and Canada takes place on 24 June 2026 at 3:00 PM ET, with the market resolving solely on the 90-minute regulation score excluding extra time and shoot-outs. Programmatic traders would model this as a discrete outcome event, feeding live line-up data and historical scoring distributions into conditional order bots to capture the 9% crowd-implied probability for an exact score.
Historically, Switzerland’s World Cup record shows consistent round-of-16 appearances in the last three tournaments, averaging 2.0 points per match with 0.8 opponent points, while Canada defeated them 3-1 in St. Gallen in May 2002 but currently holds a 1-0-1 record against Switzerland in recent group-stage play[2][8]. These comparable cases suggest a tight contest where exact scores like 1-1 or 2-1 are statistically plausible, framing the 9% probability not as an outlier but as a calibrated reflection of low-scoring volatility.
Traders must monitor pre-game line-up announcements and training updates, particularly Canada’s session ahead of the match which featured Cyle Larin, and Switzerland’s training with Xhaka, as these often signal tactical shifts affecting goal probability[4][7]. The over/under 2.5 goals market is set at +103 for over, indicating a slight lean toward higher scoring, yet the exact score market remains sensitive to late injury news or weather dependencies that could suppress tempo[1]. Recent FIFA previews confirm both teams are in Group B, with Switzerland’s ranking surge tied to co-host success, adding a psychological catalyst for the Swiss side[5][9].
Methodology
This page reviews Switzerland vs. Canada - Exact Score across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Polymarket App UK — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Polymarket App UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket App UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on Polymarket App UK?
- Zero. Polymarket App UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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