Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket App UK Pick polygram.ink |
82% | 18% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Polymarket App UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
82% | 18% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Polymarket App UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Polymarket App UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Polymarket App UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Polymarket App UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Polymarket App UK.
Active sub-markets
| O/U 1.5 | 82% Over | 19% Under |
| O/U 5.5 | 9% Over | 91% Under |
| Portugal (-1.5) | 57% Portugal | 43% Uzbekistan |
| O/U 0.5 | 96% Over | 4% Under |
| Both Teams to Score | 39% YES | 62% NO |
| Uzbekistan (-1.5) | 1% Uzbekistan | 99% Portugal |
Market context
Portugal play Uzbekistan in the FIFA World Cup group stage at Houston Stadium, with kickoff set for 1:00 p.m. ET on 23 June. The market’s **82% YES** price suggests the crowd expects at least one additional listed market to appear before settlement, and that is broadly consistent with a high-profile World Cup fixture being a live, multi-product event rather than a standalone match outcome. [2][3]
For comparison, this kind of “more markets” contract usually tracks whether the exchange expands around a game with enough attention, liquidity, and time to publish extra lines such as totals, handicaps, player props, or derivative match markets. ESPN’s pre-match board already shows a full odds menu for the fixture, including moneyline, totals, and spreads, which is the sort of setup that often supports further market creation if the event remains well covered and operationally active. [1] A programmatic trader would typically treat the current probability as a live signal of listing depth, then monitor whether new instruments are added before the settlement window closes on 23 June. [1][3]
The practical catalysts are straightforward: final team news, confirmed kick-off timing, any schedule changes, and whether the event stays on the standard broadcast track across FOX and FOX One, which usually supports ongoing trading interest. FOX lists every World Cup group-stage match across its platforms, while FIFA’s match centre confirms the fixture and venue, so the main dependency is not whether the game exists but whether extra associated markets are published in time. [2][3]
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $502K.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Polymarket App UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket App UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on Polymarket App UK?
- Zero. Polymarket App UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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