UFC Fight Night: Kevin Borjas vs. Andre Lima (Flyweight, Main Card)

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Active sub-markets

Market context

Kevin Borjas is scheduled to meet André Lima in a UFC flyweight bout on the main card, and the market will track the official UFC result rather than any interim scoring or bookmaker view. For a programmatic workflow, that means the cleanest trigger is the UFC’s posted bout result at settlement time, with a separate branch for any no contest, draw, cancellation or postponement beyond the market’s deadline.

The 100% YES crowd price is best read as a hard consensus on Lima rather than a balanced two-way book. That fits the wider pre-fight framing, where Lima has been listed as a strong favourite, including odds around -650 in recent previews, while Borjas has been positioned as the underdog after a two-fight losing run.[1][2] In practice, a power-user would treat that kind of price as a near-maximum signal but still verify whether the market is reflecting genuine conviction, stale liquidity, or simple anchoring ahead of the official card start.

The key catalysts are administrative, not narrative: official weigh-ins, final bout order, any last-minute medical or commission changes, and whether the UFC keeps the fight on the June 20 card at the Apex.[7] Because the resolution source is the UFC, an automated setup should watch for official bout announcements and post-fight result updates, then reconcile them against the market’s special cases for draw, no contest, cancellation, or delay beyond 4 July 2026.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Polymarket App UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket App UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.