LoL: LOUD vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

The real-world event is a League of Legends match between LOUD and Vivo Keyd Stars in the CBLOL Regular Season, originally set for 3 May at 3:00 PM ET. The market currently implies a 100% probability that LOUD will win, a figure that demands scrutiny given the teams’ recent head-to-head record. Historically, LOUD and Vivo Keyd Stars have faced each 16 times, with LOUD winning 10 and Vivo Keyd Stars 6, yet the most recent encounter on 7 June 2026 ended 1–2 in favour of Vivo Keyd Stars[1]. This reversal suggests that a 100% implied probability may not fully account for Vivo Keyd Stars’ capacity to upset, especially in a BO3 format where momentum shifts rapidly.

For a power-user evaluating conditional orders or copy-trading bots, the key catalysts are official roster announcements, schedule dependencies, and any delays beyond seven days that could trigger the 50–50 settlement clause. Traders should monitor CBLOL’s official communications for match confirmations or postponements, as well as Vivo Keyd Stars’ recent performance trends, which include a 9th-place finish in their first split back with only five wins[5]. A recent match report from Sheep Esports confirms Vivo Keyd Stars lost 1–3 to LOUD in CBLOL 2026 Split 1 Playoffs, indicating LOUD’s dominance in that specific series[7]. Programmatically, one would set alerts for match status updates and integrate live score feeds to adjust position sizing dynamically before the settlement window closes on 4 May 2026.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page reviews LoL: LOUD vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Polymarket App UK — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Polymarket App UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket App UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket App UK?

Zero. Polymarket App UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.