Lexus Eastbourne Open, Qualification: Jan Choinski vs Yibing Wu

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Jan Choinski v Yibing Wu is a qualifying match at Eastbourne, and the market is effectively a binary check on whether the fixture is completed with a winner or falls into a walkover/cancellation path. For a programmatic trader, the first task is to normalise the event state against the settlement rules: if the match starts and a player retires, the market can usually be resolved from completed play, but if it is not played at all or slips beyond the settlement window without a result, the outcome can revert to 50-50 under the stated rules.[1]

The current **100% yes** crowd price implies the market is already treating the scheduled encounter as certain to be decided, which is common in tennis markets once a match is listed in the draw and no withdrawal has been flagged. There is no ATP head-to-head record listed between Choinski and Wu, so there is little historical matchup data to anchor pricing; in practice, that pushes traders towards roster status, court timing, and withdrawal risk rather than opponent history.[3][7]

The key catalysts are official schedule changes, injury or withdrawal notices, and whether the qualifying round is actually completed on time. A bot or conditional-order setup would typically watch tournament updates, live score feeds, and any pre-match status changes, because postponements can keep the market open, while a no-show, walkover, or weather disruption can change the settlement logic materially.[1][2][8]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page reviews Lexus Eastbourne Open, Qualification: Jan Choinski vs Yibing Wu across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Polymarket App UK — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Polymarket App UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Polymarket App UK?

Zero. Polymarket App UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket App UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.