Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket App UK Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Polymarket App UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Polymarket App UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Polymarket App UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Polymarket App UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Polymarket App UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Polymarket App UK.
Active sub-markets
Market context
The next MrBeast Gaming upload will be scored on its first 24 hours of YouTube views, so the key question is whether the channel can hit its usual Saturday cadence and sustain the launch burst that drives day-one totals. MrBeast Gaming itself says it posts a new MrBeast or MrBeast Gaming video every Saturday at noon Eastern, which is the main timing anchor for any rules-based workflow or alerts setup.[3]
For context, the market’s **0% YES** price implies the crowd is not pricing any plausible path into the measured bracket structure. That is a strong signal that traders expect either no video before the deadline or a day-one count that sits far from the upside brackets. Comparable MrBeast-branded releases can still draw large first-day audiences: one MrBeast upload, “1 Day vs 50,000 Day Build Challenge”, has 24 million views and 16,000 comments on YouTube, showing the scale of traffic the main ecosystem can generate.[5] Separately, Beast Games Season 2 has kept the wider MrBeast brand active through early 2026, with a January premiere and weekly rollout on Prime Video, but that does not by itself confirm any Gaming upload schedule.[1][2][9]
For a programmatic approach, the variables to watch are simple: posting time, thumbnail/title changes, and whether the upload appears on the Gaming channel within the window that allows a full 24-hour measurement before settlement. If the channel misses the deadline entirely, the rules send the market to the lowest bracket, so event-driven automation would typically watch the channel RSS/API equivalent, then trigger conditional orders only after the upload is verified and the 24-hour clock starts. A trader should also track any public production delays, since the broader MrBeast ecosystem has previously seen filming push-backs mentioned by community sources.[4]
Methodology
This page reviews # of views of next MrBeast gaming video on day 1? across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Polymarket App UK — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Polymarket App UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does it cost to trade on Polymarket App UK?
- Zero. Polymarket App UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket App UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade # of views of next MrBeast gaming video on day 1? on Polymarket App UK
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