Dota 2: Execration vs Mentality Monster (BO3) - The International Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs

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Active sub-markets

Market context

Execration and Mentality Monster are due to meet in a best-of-three lower-bracket playoff match in the The International Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier, so the market is really pricing a single-series knockout rather than a long-run team-vs-team view.[1][2] At a 10% implied chance on Mentality Monster, the book is treating Execration as the clear live favourite, which is broadly consistent with pre-match vote splits and ranking context: Strafe lists Execration around #18 and shows 81.3% of users backing them, while also noting the sides have no prior head-to-head history.[1][3]

For a power-user, the clean way to approach this is to treat the market as an event-driven binary that can gap sharply on line-up or schedule updates: the key inputs are whether the series actually starts, whether the bracket timing changes, and whether the match is completed within the settlement window.[1][2] The current status pages place the match at 02:00 UTC on 22 June, which is already within the next reporting cycle, so any delay, default, or bracket re-seeding matters more than broader team form.[1][2][5] In practice, bot-driven or conditional-order strategies tend to key off tournament admin posts, live score feeds, and any official confirmation that the lower-bracket slate is intact, because a no-show or postponement beyond seven days would flip resolution away from either team and into the market’s 50-50 fallback.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page reviews Dota 2: Execration vs Mentality Monster (BO3) - The International Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Polymarket App UK — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Polymarket App UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Polymarket App UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.